Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009510 0.011272 0.013411 0.016247 0.019979 0.024834 0.031822
2025-08-24 0.006978 0.008907 0.011517 0.015449 0.021498 0.030996 0.048370
2025-08-31 0.005920 0.007947 0.010906 0.015806 0.024343 0.040128 0.076663
2025-09-07 0.005047 0.007005 0.010015 0.015348 0.025539 0.047025 0.108487
2025-09-14 0.004376 0.006225 0.009180 0.014692 0.026044 0.052821 0.146428
2025-09-21 0.003965 0.005776 0.008780 0.014683 0.027816 0.062856 0.219549
2025-09-28 0.003735 0.005578 0.008758 0.015371 0.031431 0.081192 0.395587
2025-10-05 0.003630 0.005567 0.009059 0.016795 0.037632 0.115818 0.972841
2025-10-12 0.003440 0.005381 0.008995 0.017404 0.042018 0.151304 2.437922
2025-10-19 0.003188 0.005052 0.008598 0.017125 0.043586 0.176954 5.590369
2025-10-26 0.003007 0.004833 0.008388 0.017256 0.046678 0.219886 24.394600
2025-11-02 0.002809 0.004560 0.008030 0.016922 0.047963 0.255382 205.323664
2025-11-09 0.002557 0.004181 0.007438 0.015952 0.046808 0.274426 139827.696275
2025-11-16 0.002344 0.003861 0.006940 0.015156 0.046132 0.301025 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002237 0.003737 0.006854 0.015504 0.050788 0.418773 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002090 0.003517 0.006525 0.015057 0.051494 0.493638 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001947 0.003294 0.006159 0.014419 0.050899 0.549268 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001855 0.003168 0.006005 0.014410 0.053785 0.727642 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001809 0.003131 0.006055 0.015079 0.061392 1.248160 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001800 0.003169 0.006292 0.016466 0.075840 3.254602 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001751 0.003118 0.006300 0.017058 0.085880 7.752263 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001670 0.002990 0.006095 0.016787 0.088554 13.282738 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001611 0.002906 0.005996 0.016915 0.095401 38.166920 NaN